It is sadly reminiscent of Pravda.
A particular ideological line has to be supported at all costs.
The ice is melting, the world is warming.
Facts contradict that
In this piece there is another reason for the calving of the Ice Berg the build up of ice.
It contradicts the ideological line.
Simple choice for the editor.
Leave out the actual reason for the calving of the Iceberg and stick to the "party" line.
The ice is melting the world is warming
All together now repeat "The world is warming the ice is melting."
The trouble with this is twofold.
It masks reality. The reason given for the calving is not the real reason that it happened.
The world has not warmed for 18 years. The ice is not melting.

The story building as it does on a real thing, the iceberg did calve and reinforcing as it must by the current ideology that the world is warming the ice is melting.

The story reinforces a mental reality at variance with the true reality.
As the desired reality departs further and further from the real reality
there can only be one political outcome.
Those who disagree with the official reality must be silenced. They must be discounted,
made into figures of hatred, of truth denial by the true believer and guardian's of the official reality.
We have two hopes for reality to be understod and the affairs of the world conducted in a dialogue of reason and rationaty addressing the reality that is.
The internet and freedom of speech.
The Internet is robustly constructed.
Freedom of speech is not.



I suppose one can only hope for another epiphany.
Like that point in 1989 when a billion people said that they had been lied to about reality.
And threw out communism.
A thomas Kuhn shift.


http://realclimatescience.com/2015/08/todays-featured-climate-fraudsters-the-washington-post/

One has to presume that at one point there is a change of paradigm, of understanding, a tipping point where what was once "truth" is seen in a new light for the falsehood it once was.

One hopes but then Orwell's ghost enters the conversation and you are reminded that language is being devalued.
That the currency of thought has been spent, the definition of reality has been turned upside down and inside out.
Looking at history you would have to say that even when the barbarians breached the gates, even when reason was banished for centuries betterment won out.
That however was when rulers were mortal men.
Now that all power has been vested in the Government empowered by the most powerful of technologies, and desiring to control even the most inconsequential aspect of human behaviour we risk the loss of distributed decision making, financial independence and individual freedom.

How are trends, fads, ideologies which wreak havoc halted?
How are the sectarian religions overcome by reason, humanity and decency? How is civilization preserved.
Who stopped the inquisition?

http://www.cfact.org/2015/08/19/americas-big-green-wrecking-machines/

There is the blind turning to one side when the unpleasantry from ideas once sound turns to ruin.
The Green religion is really failing to step up to the plate on this one.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/08/17/why-stefan-the-stork-died-in-vain-wind-turbines/

Indeed.
http://www.informationlode.com/int/

It is like going into the attic and finding all sorts remnants.

I wrote this site for an exam in the Onkaparinga Technical college long ago. I was getting a diploma in teaching Adults.

Wonder if I was right
http://www.informationlode.com/int/

I think I will put a bit of my thinking, reactions and ideas here instead of bugging a lot of friends on Face book who sensibly arn't taken with these kind of notions

Heres an extract from a magazine I ran in the nineties.
http://www.informationlode.com/netwatch/ 28 May edition 1997

Still waiting for the idea to be taken up

A whole new industry?

Some days you feel your six months ahead of the rest of the world. You recall the Internet site where some lazy students (the worlds greatest inventions are by lazy people wanting an easier easy - C Benz) located a camera facing their coke machine in the dorm basement and used the Internet to see if it still contained cans.

From this I postulated there was a great industry coming where bored housewives in Murmansk could use the Internet to monitor security installations in Chicago, factories with cameras mounted watching the premises wired to a site which measured movement and reported to Olga when something was afoot. Well from the land of frozen haddock comes a curious Internet site.

Enterprising hackers in Norway set up a Web cam and aimed it at the door of an alleged establishment of salubrious entertainment ("horehus", in Norwegian). The object of the exercise is to show that with a $75 Web cam and a Net link, you can keep public tabs on what or whomever you like without permission or knowledge. Netsurfers Gazette
www.sel.ikke.no/horer/

My My such a long time  between posts
Life goes on.
Still wrestling with complex systems.
Economics is interesting in this area as is Climate Models.
Making progress.
All the more reason for heuristic explorations. Poke it with a stick and write down the results.
Sir Francis Bacon was not wrong.

Found an ex IBM anthropologist taking the same approach as I decided years ago.
Curiously I met him once.

I am surprised to find have the same difficulties semi physical sciences with the verification and validity of models.

I found this example of chasing down Von Neuman's elephant. Wonderful story, as told by Fermi to Dyson and recited by Feynman. Trying to add Shrodingers cat to my cat stories. elusive. On a Lewis Carroll note what if Schrodinger's cat, Von Neuman's elephant and Nassim Taleb's Black swans had a round table discussion. Might give us caution about what certainty we attach to what we think we know.

 And making elephants dance is indeed what modeling in drug discovery runs the risk of doing, especially when you keep on adding parameters to improve the fit (Ah, the pleasures of the Internet - turns out you can literally fit an elephant to a curve). This applies to all models, whether they deal with docking, molecular dynamics or cheminformatics. This problem of overfitting is well-recognized, but researchers don't always run the right tests to get rid of it. As Derek pointed out however, the problem is certainly not unique to drug discovery. He started out by describing the presence of "rare" events in finance related to currency fluctuations - these rare events happen often enough and their magnitude is devastating enough to cause major damage. Yet the models never captured them, and this failure was responsible at least in part for the financial collapse of 2008 (this is well-documented in Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan"). - See

And making elephants dance is indeed what modeling in drug discovery runs the risk of doing, especially when you keep on adding parameters to improve the fit (Ah, the pleasures of the Internet - turns out you can literally fit an elephant to a curve). This applies to all models, whether they deal with docking, molecular dynamics or cheminformatics. This problem of overfitting is well-recognized, but researchers don't always run the right tests to get rid of it. As Derek pointed out however, the problem is certainly not unique to drug discovery. He started out by describing the presence of "rare" events in finance related to currency fluctuations - these rare events happen often enough and their magnitude is devastating enough to cause major damage. Yet the models never captured them, and this failure was responsible at least in part for the financial collapse of 2008 (this is well-documented in Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan"). - See more at: http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2015/02/derek-lowe-to-world-beware-of-von.html#sthash.J6lQ6pFg.dpuf

And making elephants dance is indeed what modeling in drug discovery runs the risk of doing, especially when you keep on adding parameters to improve the fit (Ah, the pleasures of the Internet - turns out you can literally fit an elephant to a curve). This applies to all models, whether they deal with docking, molecular dynamics or cheminformatics. This problem of overfitting is well-recognized, but researchers don't always run the right tests to get rid of it. As Derek pointed out however, the problem is certainly not unique to drug discovery. He started out by describing the presence of "rare" events in finance related to currency fluctuations - these rare events happen often enough and their magnitude is devastating enough to cause major damage. Yet the models never captured them, and this failure was responsible at least in part for the financial collapse of 2008 (this is well-documented in Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan"). - See more at: http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2015/02/derek-lowe-to-world-beware-of-von.html#sthash.J6lQ6pFg.dpuf

And making elephants dance is indeed what modeling in drug discovery runs the risk of doing, especially when you keep on adding parameters to improve the fit (Ah, the pleasures of the Internet - turns out you can literally fit an elephant to a curve). This applies to all models, whether they deal with docking, molecular dynamics or cheminformatics. This problem of overfitting is well-recognized, but researchers don't always run the right tests to get rid of it. As Derek pointed out however, the problem is certainly not unique to drug discovery. He started out by describing the presence of "rare" events in finance related to currency fluctuations - these rare events happen often enough and their magnitude is devastating enough to cause major damage. Yet the models never captured them, and this failure was responsible at least in part for the financial collapse of 2008 (this is well-documented in Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan"). - See more at: http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2015/02/derek-lowe-to-world-beware-of-von.html#sthash.J6lQ6pFg.dpuf

And making elephants dance is indeed what modeling in drug discovery runs the risk of doing, especially when you keep on adding parameters to improve the fit (Ah, the pleasures of the Internet - turns out you can literally fit an elephant to a curve). This applies to all models, whether they deal with docking, molecular dynamics or cheminformatics. This problem of overfitting is well-recognized, but researchers don't always run the right tests to get rid of it. As Derek pointed out however, the problem is certainly not unique to drug discovery. He started out by describing the presence of "rare" events in finance related to currency fluctuations - these rare events happen often enough and their magnitude is devastating enough to cause major damage. Yet the models never captured them, and this failure was responsible at least in part for the financial collapse of 2008 (this is well-documented in Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan"). - See more at: http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2015/02/derek-lowe-to-world-beware-of-von.html#sthash.J6lQ6pFg.dpuf

And making elephants dance is indeed what modeling in drug discovery runs the risk of doing, especially when you keep on adding parameters to improve the fit (Ah, the pleasures of the Internet - turns out you can literally fit an elephant to a curve). This applies to all models, whether they deal with docking, molecular dynamics or cheminformatics. This problem of overfitting is well-recognized, but researchers don't always run the right tests to get rid of it. As Derek pointed out however, the problem is certainly not unique to drug discovery. He started out by describing the presence of "rare" events in finance related to currency fluctuations - these rare events happen often enough and their magnitude is devastating enough to cause major damage. Yet the models never captured them, and this failure was responsible at least in part for the financial collapse of 2008 (this is well-documented in Nassim Taleb's "The Black Swan"). - See more at: http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2015/02/derek-lowe-to-world-beware-of-von.html#sthash.J6lQ6pFg.dpuf

http://wavefunction.fieldofscience.com/2015/02/derek-lowe-to-world-beware-of-von.html